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An Unofficial Tracking Blog of World Famous Financial Gurus.

This blog tracks famous financial gurus' market commentary, investment ideas, video interviews and media appearances.

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Monday 23 December 2013

Peter Schiff: Despite taper, Fed bond-buying isn't going anywhere

There can be little doubt that the Fed announcement is an epic attempt at rhetorical audacity. The message they hope to convey is that they are tightening monetary policy by loosening it. Based on the early market reactions, the trick has seemed to work. 

In my opinion the seemingly positive economic signs of the past few months are simply the statistical signature of the QE itself. There is little evidence to suggest that the trends are self-sustainable. But seemingly strong data had made the arguments in favor of continued QE increasingly untenable. As they could no longer stay the course the Fed had to do something. Ultimately they decided to play it both ways.


As far as the headline grabbing taper decision, the Fed's hands were essentially tied by widely held expectations. Perhaps spurred by a desire to initiate the end of QE before he leaves the chairmanship, Ben Bernanke did surprise some by announcing the taper now instead of allowing Janet Yellen to do so in March. The $10 billion reduction has convinced many that the QE program will soon become a thing of the past. At his press conference Bernanke affirmed that he expects QE to be fully wound down by the end of 2014. Look for those forecasts to change rapidly.


Without QE to support the markets, in my opinion, the economy will likely slow significantly and the stock and real estate markets will most likely turn sharply downward. As a result, I expect the Fed will do its utmost to keep the markets convinced that the QE program is in its final chapters.


I suspect that when the economic data begins to disappoint, the Fed will quickly reverse course and increase the size of its monthly purchases. In fact, today's Fed statement was careful to avoid any commitments to additional tapering in the future. It merely said that further changes in the amount of purchases will be dependent on the data. This means that QE could go in either direction.


Source @ yahoo

Tech Stocks Are Soaring Soros

Today’s midday gainers are Red Hat, Inc. (NYSE:RHT), Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO), Magnum Hunter Resources Corporation (NYSE:MHR) and midday losers are TIBCO Software Inc. (NASDAQ:TIBX), InterDigital, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDCC), Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD).
George Soros soars with tech stocks

On the top of our midday gainer list is Red Hat, Inc. (NYSE:RHT), the tech company increased +17.35% to $57.50 after a great Q3 earnings report. Billionaire George Soros holds 550,000 shares (0.28% of his fund) acquired for $52.07 per share. Another investor with a position in RHT is Ray Dalio who owns 318,000 shares, composing 0.12% of his holdings. Dalio paid an average price of $51.97 per asset.


Following Red Hat Inc. is Marketo, Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTO), which rose +13.26% to $37.25. This was a well-received news for George Soros who holds 60,000 shares of the tech firm. This position represents 0.02% of his holdings and he paid an average price of $24.58 per asset.


Last but not least is Magnum Hunter Resources Corporation (NYSE:MHR), the energy company climbed +8.34% to $7.27. This is another hit for Soros since he owns 2.4 million shares (0.17% of his fund) acquired for $4.81.


Source @ valuewalk